Estimating at DC’s 9/12 Rally

Nate Silver of pegs attendance around 70,000 — double what Glenn Beck estimated, and he had every incentive to exaggerate — and tells the story of how the 60-70K became, in the hands of FreedomWorks and Michelle Malkin, 2 million. It’s a remarkably dishonest estimate, and one that’s been picked up by foreign sources, erroneously attributed to police reports (unofficial first-responder reports said 60,000), and flies in the face of conventional logic, and DC’s experience during inauguration. Just goes to show, these people will lie about anything, even math.

More remarkable, perhaps, is conservative blog RedState’s method of reporting the attendance controversy — an exaggerated title (“2,000,000 March on Washington”), with a footnoted disclaimer slashing the estimate by 90%. God help us if President Obama gets a cold — RedState will tell us he’s dead.


  1. While I agree with you, I think the more important story is the message these nut-jobs were trying to get out.
    These idiots are scary.

  2. […] Glenn Beck Police estimates put the National Equality March numbers at 100,000 — that’s 40,000 more than any honest estimate of the “9/12 movement” march. Fox should, therefore, be […]

  3. […] reality didn’t last: Politico went on to undermine its conclusion by reporting as true the discredited idea that the 9/12 movement drew “millions.” Pity those kinds of unsubsubstantiated, […]

  4. […] get; and numbers don’t matter if you can put on a good show. Despite the right’s nonstop attempts to fudge the numbers, Glenn Beck’s 9/12 project drew substantially fewer than the Stewart/Colbert Rally to […]

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